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London Capital (LCG.L) - forecasts substantially upgraded
LCG.L
Update by Objective Capital , Aug 02, 2007 (login for full report)
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Key Points:

  • Capital Spreads quarterly client add rate more than doubled in the second quarter of 2007 compared to the fourth quarter 2006. New clients are the main engine of growth for Capital Spreads. If activity levels remain constant, a doubling of the rate of acquisition bodes well for full year results.

  • Capital Forex quarterly volumes have also more than doubled over the same period. Capital Forex is a highly scaleable commission-based business that depends on volumes to increase earnings. The doubling of volumes in the second quarter of 2007 is unlikely to have been accompanied by any appreciable increase in costs and therefore should translate into strong earnings growth.

  • Five spread betting white label partnerships have been signed in the first half of 2007. Although Capital Spreads pays away a portion of earnings to its partners, white-label agreements are a cost-effective way of increasing clients, particularly in overseas markets where the company has no brand awareness. The increase in white-label agreements will continue to fuel growth in the second half.

  • The company intends to pay an interim dividend of 1.25 pence. This is perhaps the strongest signal in the trading update that 2007 has begun very strongly. The group paid a dividend of 1.7p for 2006, so the proposal of an interim of 1.25p encourages confidence in the full year.

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